publications
For a more complete listing of publications visit this Google Scholar user profile. Also see http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9970-5363
JOURNAL PAPERS
Cary GJ, Davies ID, Bradstock, RA, Keane RE, and Flannigan MD. 2017. Importance of fuel treatment for limiting moderate-to-high intensity fire: Findings from comparative fire modelling. Landscape Ecology. 32: 1473-1483. doi:10.1007/s10980-016-0420-8.
Hanes, C. Jain, P. Flannigan, M.D. Fortin V. and Roy, G. 2017. Evaluation of the Canadian Precipitation Analysis (CaPA) to improve forest fire danger rating. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 26:509-522.
Kochtubajda, B., Brimelow, J., Flannigan, M.,Morrow,B. and Greenhough, M.D. 2017. The Extreme 2016 Wildfire in Fort McMurray, Alberta, Canada. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. State of the Climate 2016 pp.176-177.
Lagerquist, R. Flannigan, M.D., Wang, X., and Marshall, G. 2017. Automated Prediction of Extreme Fire Weather from Synoptic Patterns in Northern Alberta, Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 47: 1175–1183. dx.doi.org/10.1139/cjfr-2017-0063.
Robinne, F.-N., Bladon, K.D., Miller, C., Parisien, M.A., Mathieu, J. and Flannigan M.D. 2017. A spatial evaluation of global wildfire-water risks to human and natural systems. State of the Total Environment. Accepted.
Sakellariou, S. Tampekis, S. Samara, F. Flannigan, M. Jaeger, D. Christopoulou, O. and Sfougaris, A. 2017. Determination of fire risk to assist fire management for insular areas. The case of a small Greek island. Journal of Forestry Research. Accepted.
Shan, Y. Wang, Y. Flannigan, M. Tang, S. Sun, P. and Du, F. 2017. Spatiotemporal variations in forest fire danger from 1996 to 2010 in Jilin Province, China. Journal for Forest Research. 28(5):983–996, doi: 10.1007/s11676-017-0384-9.
Wang, X., Parisien, M-A, Taylor, S., Candau, J-N., Stralberg, D., Marshall, G., Little, J., Flannigan, M.D. 2017. Projected changes in daily fire spread across Canada over the next century. Environmental Research Letters. 12 025005. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa5835.
Wang, X., Wotton, M., Cantin, A., Parisien, M-A, Anderson, K., Moore, B., Flannigan, M.D. 2017. An R package for the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System. Ecological Processes. DOI 10.1186/s13717-017-0070-z.
Whitman, E. Parisien, M.-A. Price, D. St-Laurent, M.-H. Johnson, C. Delancey, E. Arsenault, D and Flannigan, M. 2017. A framework for modelling habitat quality in disturbance-prone areas demonstrated with woodland caribou and wildfire. Ecosphere 8(4):e01787. 10.1002/ecs2.1787.
Wotton, B.M., Flannigan, M.D. and Marshall, G. 2017. Potential climate change impacts on fire intensity and key wildfire suppression thresholds in Canada. Environmental Research Letters. 12 (2017) 095003, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa7e6e.
Abbott, B. W., Jones, J.B., Schuur, E.A.G., Chapin III, F.S., Bowden, W.B., Bret-Harte, M.S., Epstein, H.E., Flannigan, M.D. et al. 2016. Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire. An expert assessment. Environmental Research Letters. 11, 034014 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014.
Abbott, B. W., Jones, J.B., Schuur, E.A.G., Chapin III, F.S., Bowden, W.B., Bret-Harte, M.S., Epstein, H.E., Flannigan, M.D. et al. 2016. Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire. An expert assessment. Environmental Research Letters. 11, 034014 doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034014.
Blouin, K.D., Flannigan, M.D., Wang, X. and Kochtubajda, B. 2016. Ensemble lightning prediction models for the province of Alberta, Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire. Fire. 25:421-432. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF15111.
Cary GJ, Davies ID, Bradstock, RA, Keane RE, and Flannigan MD. 2016. Importance of fuel treatment for limiting moderate-to-high intensity fire: Findings from comparative fire modelling. Landscape Ecology. doi:10.1071/s10980-016-0420-8.
Flannigan, M.D., Wotton, M., Marshall, G., de Groot, W.J., Johnston, J. Jurko, N. and Cantin, A.S. 2016. Fuel moisture sensitivity to temperature and precipitation: Climate change implications. Climatic Change. 134:59-71. DOI 10.1007/s10584-015-1521-0.
Legrand, M., McConnell, J., Fischer, H., Wolff, E.W., Preunkert, S., Chellman, N. Leuenberger, D, Maselli, O., Sigl, M., Schupbach, S. and Flannigan, M. 2016. Boreal fire records in Northern Hemisphere ice cores: A review. Climate of the Past. 12:2033-2059. doi:10.5194/cp-12-2033-2016.
Parisien, M-A., Miller, C., Parks, S.A., DeLancey, E. and Flannigan, M.D. 2016.The spatially varying influence of humans on fire probability in North America. Environmental Research Letters. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/7/075005.
Robinne, F.-N. Emelko, M., Miller, C., Bladon, K., Parisien, M.A. and Flannigan M.D. 2016. A global index for mapping the exposure of water resources to Wildfire. Forests. 7(1), 22; doi:10.3390/f7010022
Robinne, F.-N. Parisien, M.A. and Flannigan M.D. 2016. Anthropogenic influence on wildfire activity in Alberta, Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 25:1131-1143.
Rogeau, M-P. Flannigan, M.D. and Parisien M-A. 2016. Fire history sampling strategy of fire intervals associated with mixed- to full-severity fires in Southern Alberta, Canada. Forest Science. http://dx.doi.org/10.5849/forsci.15-053. 62:613-622.
Rogeau, M-P. Flannigan, M.D. Hawkes, B.C. and Arthur, R.J. 2016. Fire regime departure in southern Alberta, Canada: implications for forest and wildfire management. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 25:1117-1130. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF15120.
Smith, A.M., Kolden, C.A., Paveglio, T.B., Cochrane, M.A., Bowman, D.M., Moritz, M.A., Klisley, A.D. Alessa, L., Hudak, A.T., Hoffman, C.M., Lutz, J.A., Queen, L.P., Goetz, S.J., Higuera, P.E., Boschetti, L., Flannigan. M.D., Yedinak, K.M., Watts, A.C., Strand, E.K., van Wagtendonk, J.W., Anderson, J.W., Stocks, B.J. and Abatzoglou, J.T. 2016. The Science of firescapes: Achieving Fire Resilient Communities. Bioscience. 66:130-146. Doi: 10.1093/biosci/biv182.
Stockdale, C., Flannigan, M. and Macdonald, E. 2016. A critical Analysis of the use of Fire Regimes as the basis of Forest Ecosystem Management with examples from the Canadian Western Cordillera. Environmental Reviews. 24:233-243. doi.org/10.1139/er-2016-0002.
Wang, X., Parisien, M-A., Taylor, S.W. Perakis, D.D., Little, J.M. and Flannigan. M.D. 2016. Future burn probability in south-central British Columbia. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 25:200-212 http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF15091.
Field, R.D., Spessa, A.C. Aziz, N.A. Camai, A. Cantin, A., Carr, R., de Groot, W.J. Dowdy, A.J. Flannigan, M.D., Manomaiphiboon, K., Pappenberger, F., Tanpipat, V. and Wang, X. 2015. Development of a Global Fire Weather Database. Natural Hazards Earth Systems Science. 15, 1407-1423, doi:10.5194/nhess-15-1407-2015.
Flannigan, M.D. 2015. Fire Evolution split by continent. News and Views. Nature Geoscience. Doi:10.1038/ngeo2360.
French, N., Jenkins, L. Loboda, T. Flannigan, M., Jandt, R. Bourgeau-Chavez L., and Whitley, M. 2015. Fire in Arctic tundra of Alaska: Past fire activity, future fire potential, and significance for land management and ecology. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 24: 1045-1061.
Reisen, F., Duran, S.M., Flannigan, M.D., Elliott,C. and Rideout, K. 2015. Wildfire smoke and public health risk. International Journal of Wildland Fire 24(8) :1029-1044 ,doi: 10.1071/WF15034.
Rogeau, M-P. Flannigan, M.D. and Parisien M-A. 2015. Use of fire-return-intervals for sustainable forest management in complex fire regimes at the subalpine-foothills landscape interface of the Canadian Rockies. Forest Science. http://dx.doi.org/10.5849/forsci.15-053.
Wang, X., Thompson, D.K., Marshall, G.A., Tymstra, C., Carr, R. and Flannigan, M.D. 2015. Increasing frequency of extreme fire weather in Canada with climate change. Climatic Change. 130:573-586. DOI 10.1007/s10584-015-1375-5.
Kettridge, N., Turetsky, M., Sherwood, J., Thompson, D., Miller, C., Benscoter, B., Flannigan, M., Wotton, M. and Waddington, M. 2015. Moderate drop in water table increases peatland vulnerability to post-fire regime shift. Scientific Reports. 5:8063. doi:10.1038/srep08063.
Price, O.J., Pausas, J.G., Govender, G., Flannigan, M.D., Fernandes, P.M., Brooks, M.L. and Bird, R.B. 2014. Global patterns in fire leverage: the response of annual area burnt to previous fire. International Journal of Wildland Fire.24: 297-306. View online.
Lehsten, V., de Groot, W.J., Flannigan, M.D., Charles, G.T. and Balzter H. (2014). Wildfires in boreal ecoregions: evaluating the power law assumption and intra- and inter-annual variations. JGR –Biogeosciences. 119:14-23. DOI: 10.1002/2012JG002252. View online.
Parisien, M-A., Parks, S.A., Krawchuk, M.A., Little, J.M., Flannigan, M.D., Gowman, L.M., and Moritz, M.A. 2014. An analysis of controls on fire activity in boreal Canada: comparing models built with different temporal resolutions. Ecological Applications. 24:1341-1356. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/13-1477.1 View online
Scotto, M. G., Gouveia, S., Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Martins, V., Flannigan, M., San Miguel-Ayanz, J., Miranda, A.I. and C. Borrego. (2014). Area burned in Portugal over the last decades: an extreme value analysis. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 23:812-824. http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF13104 View online.
Wang, X., Parisien, M-A., Flannigan. M.D., Parks, S.A. Anderson, K.R. Little, J.M. and Taylor, S.W. 2014. The potential and realized spread of wildfires across Canada. Global Change Biology. 20:2518-2530. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12590.
View online.
Brandt, J.P., Flannigan, M.D., Maynard,D., Thompson, I. and Volney, W.J.A. (2013). An Introdcution to Canada’s boreal zone: ecosystem processes, health, sustainability and environmental issues. Environmental Reviews. 21:207-226. View online.
de Groot, W.J., Flannigan, M.D., and Cantin, A.S. (2013). Climate change impacts on future boreal fire regimes. Forest Ecology and Management. 294:35-44.View online.
de Groot, W.J., Cantin, A.S., Flannigan, M.D., Soja, A.J., Gowman, L.M. and Newbery, A. (2013). A comparison of Canadian and Russian boreal forest fire regimes. Forest Ecology and Management. 294:23-34. View online.
Flannigan, M.D. Cantin, A.S. de Groot, W.J. Wotton, M. Newbery, A. and Gowman, L.M. (2013). Global wildland fire season severity in the 21st century. Forest Ecology and Management.294:64-71. View online.
Keane, R., Cary, G., Flannigan, M., Parsons, R., Davies, I., King, K., Li, C., Bradstock, R., and Gill, A.M. (2013). Exploring the role of fire, succession, climate, and weather on landscape dynamics using comparative modeling. Ecological Modelling. 266: 172-186. View online.
Price, D.T., Alfaro, R.I. Brown, K.J., Flannigan, M.D., Fleming, R.A., Hogg, E.H., Girardin, M.P., Lakusta, T., Johnston, M., McKenney, D.W., Pedlar, J., Stratton, T. Sturrock, R. Thompson, I., Trofymow, J.A. and Venier, L.A. (2013). Anticipating the consequences of climate change for Canada’s boreal forest ecosystems. Environmental Reviews. 21:322-365. View online.
Waddington, J.M. Thompson, D.K. Wotton, M. Quinton, W.L. Flannigan, M.D. Benscoter, B.W. Baisley, S.A. and Turetsky, M.R. (2012). Examining the utility of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System in Canadian Boreal Peatlands. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 42:47-58. View online.
Beverly, J.L. Flannigan, M.D. Stocks, B.J. and Bothwell, P. (2011). The association between Northern Hemisphere climate patterns and interannual variability in Canadian wildfire activity. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 41:2193-2201. View online.
Carvalho, A. Monteiro, A. Flannigan, M. Solman, S. Miranda, A.I. and Borrego, C. (2011). Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality. Atmosphere Environment. 45: 5545-5553. View online.
Shabbar, A., Skinner, W. and Flannigan, M. (2010). Prediction of Seasonal Forest Fire Severity in Canada from Large-Scale Climate Patterns. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. Accepted.
Benscoter, B.W., Thompson, D.K., Waddington, J.M., Flannigan, M.D., Wotton, B.M., de Groot, W.J. and Turetsky, M.R. (2010). Interactive effects of vegetation, soil moisture and bulk density on depth of burning of thick organic soils. International Journal of Wildland Fire, Accepted.
Parisien, M-A., Parks, S.A., Krawchuk, M.A., Flannigan, M.D., Bowman, L.M., and Moritz, M.A. (2010). Scale-dependent controls on the area burned in the boreal forest of Canada, 1980-2005. Ecological Applications, Accepted.
Drobyshev, I., Flannigan, M., Bergeron Y., Girardin, M. and Suran, B. (2010). Variation in local weather explains differences in fire regimes within a Quebec south-eastern boreal forest landscape. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 19,1073-1082.
Wotton, B.M., Nock, C.A. and Flannigan, M.D. (2010). Forest fire occurrence and climate change in Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire,19,253-271.
Wang, Y., Flannigan, M. and Anderson, K. (2010). Correlations between forest fires in British Columbia, Canada, and sea surface temperature of the Pacific Ocean. Ecological Modelling, 221, 122-129. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.12.007
Meyn, A., Taylor, S.W., Flannigan, M.D., Thonicke, K. and Cramer, W. (2010). Relationship between fire, climate oscillations, and drought in British Columbia, Canada, 1920-2000. Global Change Biology, 16:977-989. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02061.x.
Le Goff, H., Flannigan, M., and Bergeron, Y. (2009). Potential changes in monthly fire risk in the eastern Canadian boreal forest under future climate change. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 39, 2369-2380. DOI: 10.1139/X09-153
Flannigan, M.D., Krawchuk, M.A., de Groot, W.J., Wotton, B.M. and Gowman, L.M. (2009). Implications of changing climate for global wildland fire. International Journal of Wildland Fire,18, 483-507. 
Jiang, Y., Zhuang, Q., Flannigan, M. and J. Little (2009). Characterization of wildfire regimes in Canadian boreal terrestrial ecosystems. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 18, 992-1002. DOI: 10.1079/WF08096.
Spracklen, D.V., Mickley, L.J., Logan, J.A., Hudman, R.C., Yevich, R., Flannigan, M.D. and Westerling, A.L. (2009). Impacts of climate change from 2000 to 2050 on wildfire activity and carbonaceous aerosol concentrations in the western United States. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, D20301, DOI:10.1029/2008JD010966.
Carvalho, A., Flannigan, M.D., Logan, K.A., Gowman, L.M., Miranda, A.I. and C. Borrego. (2010). The impact of spatial resolution on area burned and fire occurrence projections in Portugal under climate change. Climatic Change, 98, 177-197. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-009-9667-2.
Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J., Turetsky, M.R. and Wotton, B.M. (2009). Impact of climate change on fire activity and fire management in the circumboreal forest. Global Change Biology, 15: 549-560. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01660.x.
Balshi, M.S., McGuire, A.D., Duffy, P., Flannigan, M., Kicklighter, D.W., and Melillo, J. (2009). Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21st Century. Global Change Biology. 15, 1491-1510. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01877.x
Amiro, B.D., Cantin, A., Flannigan, M.D. and de Groot, W. (2009). Future Emissions from Canadian Boreal Forest Fires. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 39, 383-395. DOI: 10.1139/X08-154.
Drever, C.R., Bergeron Y., Drever, M.C., Flannigan, M., Logan,T. and Messier, C. (2009). Effects of climate on occurrence and size of large fires in a northern hardwood landscape: historical trends, future predictions, and implications for climate change in Témiscamingue, Québec. Applied Vegetation Science,12, 261-272. DOI: 10.1111/j.1654-109X.2009.01035.x
Cary, G., Flannigan, M., Keane, R., Bradstock, R., Davies, I., Li, C., Lenihan, J., Logan, K., and Parsons, R. (2009). Relative importance of fuel management, ignition management and weather for area burned: Evidence from five landscape-fire-succession models. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 18,147-156,DOI: 10.1071/WF07085.
Balshi, M.S., McGuire, A.D., Duffy, P., Flannigan, M., Walsh, J., and Melillo, J. (2008).Assessing the response of area burned to changing climate in western boreal North America using a Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) approach. Global Change Biology, 15, 578-600. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01679.x
Le Goff, H. Girardin, M-P. Flannigan, M. and Bergeron, Y. (2008). Dendroclimatic inference of wildfire activity in Quebec over the 20th century and implications for natural disturbance-based forest management at the northern limit of the commercial forest. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 17, 348-362.
Krawchuk. M.A., Cumming, S.G. and Flannigan, M.D. (2008). Predicted changes in fire weather suggest increases in lightning fire initiation and future area burned in the mixedwood boreal forest. Climatic Change,92,83-97. DOI 10.1007/s10584-008-9460-7.
Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J., Turetsky, M.R. and Wotton, B.M. (2008). Impacts of climate change on fire activity and fire management in the circumboreal forest. Global Change Biology,15,549-560. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01660.x.
Drever, C.R., Drever, M.C., Messier, C., Bergeron Y. and Flannigan, M. (2008). Fire and the relative roles of weather, climate and landscape characteristics in the Great-Lakes-St. Lawrence forest of Canada. Journal of Vegetation Science, 19, 57-66.
Le Goff, H., Flannigan, M. Bergeron, Y. and Girardin, M-P. (2007). Historical fire regime shifts related to climate teleconnections in the Waswanipi area, central Quebec, Canada. International Journal of Wildland, 16, 607-618.
Carvalho, A., Flannigan, M., Logan, K., Miranda A. and Borrego C. (2008). Fire activity in Portugal and its relationship to weather and the Canadian Fire Weather Index System. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 17, 328-338.
Balshi, M.S., McGuire, A.D., Zhuang, Q., Melillo, J., Kicklighter, D.W., Kasischke, E., Wirth, C., Flannigan, M., Harden, J., Clein, J.S., Burnside, T.J., McAllister, J. Kurz, W.A., Apps, M. and Shvidenko, A. (2007). The role of historical fire disturbance in the carbon dynamics of the pan-boreal region: A process-based analysis. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112, G02029. DOI:10.1029/2006JG000380.
Leblon, B., Garcia, P., Oldford, S., Maclean, D. and Flannigan, M. (2007). Using cumulative NOAA-AVHRR spectral indices for estimating fire danger codes in northern boreal forests. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 9, 335-342.
Lavorel, S., Flannigan, M.D., Lambin, E.F. and Scholes, M.C. (2007). Vulnerability of land systems to fire: interactions between humans, climate, the atmosphere and ecosystems. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 12, 33-53. DOI: 10.1007/s11027-006-9046-5.
Anderson, K., Reuter, G. and Flannigan, M. (2007). Fire-growth modeling using meteorological data with random and systematic perturbations. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 16, 174-182.
Tymstra, C., Flannigan, M., Armitage, B. and Logan, K. (2007). Impact of climate change on area burned in Alberta's boreal forest. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 16, 153-160.
Wulder, M.A., Campbell, C., White, J.C., Flannigan, M.D. and Campbell, I.D. (2007). National circumstances in the International circumboreal community. Forestry Chronicle, 83, 539-556.
Cary, G., Keane, R., Gardner, R., Lavorel, S., Flannigan, M., Davies, I., Li, C., Lenihan, J., Rupp, T. and Mouillot, F.(2006). Comparison of the sensitivity of landscape-fire-succession models to variation in terrain, fuel pattern, climate and weather. Landscape Ecology, 21, 121-137.
Skinner, W.R., Shabbar, A., Flannigan, M.D. and Logan, K. (2006). Large forest fires in Canada and the relationship to Global Sea Surface Temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111, D14106. DOI:10.1029/2005JD006738.
Girardin, M.P., Tardif, J., and Flannigan, M.D.(2006). Temporal variability in area burned for the Province of Ontario, Canada during the past 200 years inferred from tree-rings. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmosphere, 111, D17108. DOI:10.1029/2005JD006815.
Girardin, M.P., Tardif, J.C., Flannigan, M.D. and Bergeron, Y. (2006). Forest fire-conducive drought variability in the southern Canadian boreal forest and the associated climatology inferred from tree rings. Canadian Water Resources Journal, 31, 275-296.
Soja, A.J., Tchebakova, N.M., French, N.H., Flannigan, M.D., Shugart, H.H., Stocks, B.J., Sukhinin, A.I., Parfenova, E.I. and Chapin, T. (2006). Climate-induced boreal forest change: predictions versus current observations. Global and Planetary Change, 56, 274-296. DOI:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.28.
Drever, C., Peterson, G., Messier, C., Bergeron, Y. and Flannigan, M. (2006). Can forest management based on natural disturbances maintain ecological resilience? Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 36, 2285-2299.
Turetsky, M.R., Harden, J. Friedl, H.R., Flannigan, M., Payne, N., Crock, J. and Radke, L. (2006). Wildfires threaten mercury stocks in northern soils. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L16403. DOI:101029/2005GL025595.
Bergeron, Y., Cyr, D., Drever, C., Flannigan, M., Gauthier, S., Kneeshaw, D., Lauzon, E., Leduc, A., Le Goff, H., Lesieur, D. and Logan, K. (2006). Past, current and future fire frequencies in Quebec's commercial forests: implications for the cumulative effects of harvesting and fire on age-class structure and natural disturbance-based management. Canadian Journal of Forest Resources, 36, 2737-2744.
Oldford, S., Leblon,B., Maclean, D. and Flannigan, M. (2006). Predicting low drying fire weather index fuel moisture codes with NOAA-AVHRR images in Canada's northern boreal forests. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 27, 3881-3902.
Girardin, M-P., Tardif, J.C.,Flannigan, M.D. and Bergeron, Y. (2006). Synoptic Scale Atmospheric Circulation and Summer Drought Variability of the Past Three Centuries, Boreal Canada. Journal of Climate, 19, 1922-1947.
Kochtubajda, B., Flannigan, M.D., Gyakum, J.R., Stewart, R.E., Logan, K.A. and Nguyen, T-V. (2006). Lightning and Fires in the Northwest Territories and responses to future climate change. Arctic, 59, 211-221.
Krawchuk. M.A., Cumming, S.G., Flannigan, M.D. and Wein, R.W. (2006). Biotic and abiotic regulation of lightning fire initiation in the mixedwood boreal forest. Ecology, 87(2), 458-468.
Girardin, M-P., Bergeron, Y., Tardif, J.C., Gauthier, S., Flannigan, M.D. and Mudelsee, M. (2006). A 229-year dendroclimatic-inferred record of forest fire activity for the Boreal Shield of Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 15, 375-388.
Flannigan, M.D., Amiro, B.D., Logan, K.A., Stocks, B.J. and Wotton, B.M. (2005). Forest fires and climate change in the 21st Century. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 11, 847-859. DOI: 10.1007/s11027-005-9020-7.
Flannigan, M.D., Logan, K.A., Amiro, B.D., Skinner, W.R. and Stocks, B.J. (2005). Future area burned in Canada. Climatic Change, 72, 1-16.
Le Goff, H., Leduc, A., Bergeron, Y. and Flannigan, M. (2005). The adaptive capacity of forest management to changing fire regimes in the boreal forest of Quebec. Forestry Chronicle, 81, 582-592.
Girardin, M.P., Tardif, J., Flannigan, M.D., B.M. Wotton and Bergeron, Y. (2004). Trends and periodicities in the Canadian Drought Code and their relationships with atmospheric circulation for the southern Canadian boreal forest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 34, 103-119.
Bergeron, Y. , Gauthier, S., Flannigan, M. and Kafka, V. (2004). Fire regimes at the transition between mixedwoods and coniferous boreal forest in northwestern Quebec. Ecology, 85, 1916-1932.
Stocks, B.J., Alexander, M.E., Wotton, B.M., Stefner, C.N., Flannigan, M.D., Taylor, S.W., Lavoie, N., Mason, J.A., Hartley, G.R., Maffey, M.E., Dakrymple, G.N., Blake, T.W., Cruz, M.G. and Lanoville, R.A. (2004). Crown fire behavior in a northern jack pine - black spruce forest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 34, 1548-1560.
Girardin, M.P., Tardif, J., Flannigan, M.D. and Bergeron, Y. (2004). Multicentury reconstruction of the Canadian Drought Code from eastern Canada and its relationship with paleoclimatic indices of atmospheric circulation. Climate Dynamics, 23(2), 99-115. DOI:10.1007/s00382-004-0417-x.
Keane, R.E., Cary, G.J., Davies, I.D., Flannigan, M.D., Gardner, R.H., Lavorel, S., Lenihan, J.M., Li, C., Rupp, T.S. (2004). A classification of landscape fire succession models: spatially explicit models of fire and vegetation dynamics. Ecological Modelling, 179, 3-27. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2004.03.015.
Bergeron, Y., Flannigan, M., Gauthier, S., Leduc, A. and Lefort, P. (2004). Past, current and future fire frequency in the Canadian boreal forest: implications for sustainable forest management. Ambio, 33, 356-360.
Gillett, N.P., Weaver, A.J., Zwiers, F.W. and Flannigan, M.D. (2004). Detecting the effect of climate change on Canadian forest fires. Geophysical Research Letters, 31(18), L18211. DOI:10.1029/2004GL020876.
Amiro, B.D., Logan, K.A., Wotton, B.M., Flannigan, M.D., Todd, J.B., Stocks, B.J. and Martell, D.L. (2004). Fire weather index system components of large fires in the Canadian boreal forest. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 13, 391-400.
Hely, C., Flannigan, M.D. and Bergeron, Y. (2003). Modeling tree mortality following wildfire in the southeastern Canadian mixed-wood boreal forest. Forest Science, 49, 566-576.
Stocks, B.J., Mason, J.A., Todd, J.B., Bosch, E.M., Wotton, B.M., Amiro, B.D., Flannigan, M.D., Hirsch, K.G., Logan, K.A., Martell, D.L. and Skinner, W.R. (2003). Large forest fires in Canada, 1959-1997. Journal of Geophysical Research, 108, 8149. DOI:10.1029/2001JD000484.
Kochtubajda, B., Stewart, R.E., Gyakum, J.R., and Flannigan, M.D. (2002). Summer convection and lightning over the Mackenzie River Basin and their impacts during 1994 and 1995. Atmosphere-Ocean, 40, 199-220.
Wierzchowski, J., Heathcott, M. and Flannigan, M.D. (2002). Lightning and lightning fire, central cordillera, Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 11, 41-51.
Amiro, B.D., Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J., and Wotton, B.M. (2002). Perspectives on carbon emissions from Canadian forest fires. Forestry Chronicle, 78(3), 388-390.
Skinner, W.R., Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J., Martell, D.M., Wotton, B.M., Todd, J.B. Mason, J.A., Logan, K.A. and Bosch, E.M. (2002). A 500 hPa synoptic wildland fire climatology for large Canadian forest fires, 1959-1996. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 71, 157-169.
Tardif, J., Flannigan, M. and Bergeron, Y. (2001). An analysis of the daily radial growth increment of 7 boreal tree species, northwestern Quebec. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 67, 141-160.
Dale, V.H, Joyce, L.A., Neilson, R.P., Ayres, M.P., Flannigan, M.D., Hanson, P.J., Irland, L.C., Lugo, A.E., Peterson, C.J., Simberloff, D., Swanson, F.J., Stocks, B.J. and Wotton, B.M. 2001. Climate change and forest disturbances. Bioscience, 51:723-734.
Amiro, B.D., Stocks, B.J., Alexander, M.E., Flannigan, M.D., and Wotton. B.M. (2001). Fire, climate change, carbon and fuel management in the Canadian Boreal forest. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 10, 405-413.
Hely, C., Flannigan, M.D., Bergeron, Y. and McRae, D. (2001). Role of vegetation and weather on fire behavior in the Canadian Mixedwood boreal forest using two fire behavior prediction systems. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 31, 430-441.
Amiro, B.D., Todd, J.B., Wotton, B.M., Logan, K.A., Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J.,Mason, J.A.,Skinner, W.R., Martell, D.L. and Hirsch, K.G. (2001). Direct carbon emissions from Canadian forest fires, 1959 to 1999. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 31, 512-525.
Flannigan, M.D., Campbell, I., Wotton, B.M., Carcaillet, C., Richard, P. and Bergeron, Y. (2001). Future fire in Canada's boreal forest: paleoecology results, and general circulation model - regional climate model simulations. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 31, 854-864.
Engelmark, O., Bergeron, Y. and Flannigan, M. (2000). Age structure of Pinus strobus L. at its northern distribution limit in Quebec, Canada. Canadian Field-Naturalist, 114, 359-362.
Hely, C., Bergeron, Y. and Flannigan, M. (2000). Coarse woody debris in the southeastern Canadian boreal forest: composition and load variations in relation to stand replacement. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 30, 674-687.
Parker, W.C., Colombo, S.J., Cherry, M.L., Flannigan, M.D., Greifenhagen, S., McAlpine, R.S., Papadopol, C. and Scarr, T. (2000). Third Millennium Forestry: What climate change might mean to forests and forest management in Ontario. Forestry Chronicle, 76, 445-463.
Li, C., Flannigan, M.D. and Corns, I.G.W. (2000). Influence of potential climate change on forest landscape dynamics of west central Alberta. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 30, 1905-1912.
Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J. and Wotton, B.M. (2000). Climate change and forest fires. Science of the Total Environment, 262, 221-230.
Hely, C., Bergeron, Y. and Flannigan, M.D. (2000). Effects of stand composition on fire hazard in the mixedwood Canadian boreal forest. Journal of Vegetation Science, 11, 813-824.
Campbell, I.D., McDonald, K., Flannigan, M.D. and Kringayark, J. (1999). Long-distance transport of pollen into the Arctic. Nature, 399, 29-30.
Bergeron, Y-P., Richard, J.H., Christopher, C., Gauthier, S., Flannigan, M., Prairie, Y.T., (1998). Variability in fire frequency and forest composition in Canada's southeastern boreal forest: A challenge for sustainable forest management. Conservation Ecology, 2(2), 6.
Thompson, I.D., Flannigan, M.D., Wotton, B.M. and Suffling, R. (1998). The effects of climate change on landscape diversity: an example in Ontario forests. Environmental Assessment and Monitoring, 49, 213-233.
Flannigan, M.D., Bergeron, Y., Engelmark, O. and Wotton, B.M. (1998). Future wildfire in circumboreal forests in relation to global warming. Journal of Vegetation Science, 9, 469-476.
Flannigan, M.D. and Bergeron, Y. (1998). Possible role of disturbance in shaping the northern distribution of Pinus resinosa. Journal of Vegetation Science, 9, 477-482.
Flannigan, M.D., Wotton, B.M. and Ziga, S. (1998). A study on the interpolation of fire danger using radar precipitation estimates. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 8, 217-225.
Weber, M.G. and Flannigan, M.D. (1997). Canadian boreal forest ecosystem structure and function in a changing climate: Impacts on fire regimes. Environmental Reviews, 5, 145-166.
Bergeron, Y. and Flannigan, M.D. (1995). Predicting the effects of climate change on fire frequency in the southeastern Canadian boreal forest. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution, 82, 437-444.
Flannigan, M.D. and Woodward, F.I. (1994). Red pine abundance: current climatic control and responses to future warming. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 24, 1166-1175.
Flannigan, M.D. and Woodward, F.I. (1993). A laboratory study of the effect of temperature on red pine seed germination. Forest Ecology and Management, 62, 145-156.
Flannigan, M.D. (1993). Fire regime and the abundance of red pine. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 3, 241-247.
Wotton, B.M. and Flannigan, M.D. (1993). Length of the fire season in a changing climate. Forestry Chronicle, 69, 187-192.
Harrington, J.B. and Flannigan, M.D. (1993). A model for the frequency of long periods of drought at forested sites in Canada. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 32, 1708-1716.
Flannigan, M.D. and Wotton, B.M. (1991). Lightning-Ignited forest fires in Northwestern Ontario. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 21, 277-287.
Flannigan, M.D. and Van Wagner, C.E. (1991). Climate Change and wildfire in Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 21, 66-72.
McRae, D.J. and Flannigan, M.D. (1990). Development of large vortices on prescribed fires. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 20, 1878-1887.
Flannigan, M.D. and Wotton, B.M. (1989). A study of interpolation methods for forest fire danger rating in Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 19, 1059-1066.
Flannigan, M.D. and Harrington, J.B. (1988). A study of the relation of meteorological variables to monthly provincial area burned by wildfire in Canada 1953-80. Journal of Applied Meteorology, 27, 441-452.
Flannigan, M.D. and Harrington, J.B. (1987). Synoptic weather conditions during the Porter Lake experimental fire project. Climatological Bulletin, 21, 19-40.
Flannigan, M.D. and Vonder Haar, T.H. (1986). Forest fire monitoring using the NOAA satellite AVHRR. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 16, 975-982.
de Groot, W.J., Wotton, B.M. and Flannigan, M.D. 2014. Wildland Fire Danger Rating and Early Warning Systems. Wildfire, Hazards, Risks, and Disasters. D. Paton. Elsevier. pp. 207-228.
Paton, D., Buergelt, P.T., and Flannigan, M.D. 2014. Ensuring that we can see the wood and the Trees: Growing the Capacity for Ecological Wildfire Risk Management. Wildfire, Hazards, Risks, and Disasters. D. Paton. Elsevier. pp. 247-262.
de Groot, W.J. and Flannigan, M.D. 2014. Climate change and early warning systems for wildland fire. Chapter 7. Reducing Disaster: Early Warning Systems and Climate Change. Edited by Z. Zommers and A. Singh. Springer. pp. 127-151.
Flannigan, M.D., Gowman, L.M., Wotton, B.M. Krawchuk, M.A., de Groot, W.J. and Stocks, B.J. (2013). Modelling future wildland fire in the Circumboreal. Chapter 15. Vegetation Fires and Climate Change. Edited By J.G. Goldammer. Kessel Publishing House pp. 209-224.
Stocks, B.J. and Flannigan, M.D. (2013). Current fire regimes, impacts and likely changes: Past, Current and Future Boreal Fire Activity in Canada. Chapter 4. Vegetation Fires and Climate Change. Edited By J.G. Goldammer. Kessel Publishing House pp. 39-50.
Keane, R.E., G. Cary, and M. Flannigan. (2010). Challenges and needs in fire management: A landscape simulation modeling perspective. Book Chapter. Pages 77-89 In: Li, Chao, R Lafortezza, and J. Chen (editors) Landscape ecology in forest management and conservation: Challenges and solutions for global change. Springer, Higher Education Press, Beijing, China ISBN: 978-7-04-029136-0.
Le Goff, H., Flannigan, M., Bergeron, Y., Leduc, A., Gauthier. S. and K. Logan. 2009. Management solutions to face climate change, the example of forest fires. In Ecosystem Management in the boreal forest, S. Gauthier, M-A Vaillancourt, A. Leduc, L. De Grandpré, D. Kneeshaw, H. Morin, P. Drapeau and Y. Bergeron (Eds). Presses de l'Université du Québec, pp.103-127.
Girardin, M., Flannigan, M., Tardif, J. and Y. Bergeron. 2009. Climate, weather and forest fire. In, Ecosystem Management in the boreal forest, S. Gauthier, M-A Vaillancourt, A. Leduc, L. De Grandpré, D. Kneeshaw, H. Morin, P. Drapeau and Y. Bergeron (Eds). Presses de l'Université du Québec, pp. 79-102.
Martin P. Girardin, Mike D. Flannigan, Jacques C. Tardif et Yves Bergeron. (2008). Climatologie, météorologie et feux de forêt. pp 83-108. In S. Gauthier, M-A Vaillancourt, A. Leduc, L. De Grandpré, D. Kneeshaw, H. Morin, P. Drapeau and Y. Bergeron (éditeurs), Aménagement écosystémique en forêt boréale (672 pp). Presses de l’Université du Québec.
Héloïse Le Goff, Mike D. Flannigan, Yves Bergeron, Alain Leduc, Sylvie Gauthier et Kim Logan. (2008). Des solutions d’aménagement pour faire face aux changements climatiques : l’exemple des feux de forêt, pp 109-136. In S. Gauthier, M-A Vaillancourt, A. Leduc, L. De Grandpré, D. Kneeshaw, H. Morin, P. Drapeau and Y. Bergeron (éditeurs), Aménagement écosystémique en forêt boréale (672pp). Presses de l’Université du Québec.
Flannigan, M.D., Kochtubajda, B. and Logan, K.A. (2007). Forest fires and climate change in the Northwest Territories. In: Woo, Ming-ko (Editor), Cold region atmospheric and hydrologic studies (pp 403-418). The Mackenzie GEWEX Experience. Volume: Atmospheric Dynamics.
Kochtubajda, B., Flannigan, M.D., Gyakun, J.R., Stewart, R.E., Burrows, W.R. and Way, A. (2007). The nature and impacts of thunderstorms in a northern Climate. In Woo, Ming-ko (Editor), Cold region atmospheric and hydrologic studies (pp 383-402). The Mackenzie GEWEX Experience. Volume: Atmospheric Dynamics.
Keane, R.E., G. Cary, Ian D. Davies, Michael D. Flannigan, Robert H. Gardner, Sandra Lavorel, James M. Lenihan, Chao Li, T. Scott Rupp. (2007). Understanding global fire dynamics by classifying and comparing spatial models of vegetation and fire dynamics. In Canell, J., D. Patalki, and L. Patalka (Eds.), Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World (pp 139-148). Cambridge, United Kingdom: GCTE Synthesis Book, Cambridge University Press.
McGuire, A.D., M. Apps, F.S. Chapin III, R. Dargaville, M.D. Flannigan, E. S. Kasischke, D. Kicklighter, J. Kimball, W. Kurz, D.J. McRae, K. McDonald, J. Melillo, R. Myneni,B.J. Stocks, D. L. Verbyla, and Q. Zhuang. (2004). Land Cover Disturbances and Feedbacks to the Climate System in Canada and Alaska. In Gutman, G.; Janetos, A.C.; Justice, C.O.; Moran, E.F.; Mustard, J.F.; Rindfuss, R.R.; Skole, D.; Turner II, B.L.; Cochrane, M.A. Dordrecht (Eds.), Land Change Science Observing, Monitoring and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth's Surface (pp139-161). Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Csiszar, I., C.O. Justice, A.D. McGuire, M.A. Cochrane, D.P. Roy, F. Brown, S.G. Conard, P.G.H. Frost, L. Giglio, C. Elvidge, M.D. Flannigan, E. Kasischke, D.J. McRae, T.S. Rupp, B.J. Stocks, and D.L. Verbyla. (2004). Land use and fires. In Gutman, G.; Janetos, A.C.; Justice, C.O.; Moran, E.F.; Mustard, J.F.; Rindfuss, R.R.; Skole, D.; Turner II, B.L.; Cochrane, M.A. Dordrecht (Eds.), Land Change Science Observing, Monitoring and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth's Surface. Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J. and Weber, M.G. (2003). Fire regimes and climatic change in Canadian forests. In Veblen, T., Baker, W. and Swetnam, T. (Eds.), Fire and Climatic Change in Temperate Ecosystems of the Western Americas (pp 97-119). New York: Springer-Verlag.
Stocks, B.J., Wotton, B.M., Flannigan, M.D., Fosberg, M.A., Cahoon, D.R., and Goldammer, J.G. (2001). Boreal forest fire regimes and climate change. In M. Beniston and M.M. Verstraete (Eds.), Remote Sensing and Climate Modeling: Synergies and Limitations (pp. 233-246), Advances in Global Change Research. Dordrecht and Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Flannigan, M.D. and Wotton, B.M. (2001). Climate, weather and area burned. In Johnson, E.A. and Miyanishi, K. (Eds.), Forest Fires: Behavior & Ecological Effects (pp. 335-357). Academic Press.
Anderson, K.R., Martell, D.L., Flannigan, M.D. and Wang, D. (2000). Fire Occurrence in the Boreal Forest Region of Canada. Accepted In Kasischke, E. and Stocks, B.J. (Eds.), Fire, Climate Change and Carbon Cycling in North American Boreal Forests (pp. 357-367). Springer-Verlag.
Campbell, I.D. and Flannigan, M.D. (2000). Long-term perspectives on fire-climate-vegetation relationships in the North American boreal forest. In Kasischke, E. and Stocks, B.J. (Eds.), Fire, Climate Change and Carbon Cycling in North American Boreal Forests (pp. 151-172). Springer-Verlag.
Flannigan, M.D. and Weber, M.G. (2000). Influences of climate on Ontario forests. In Perera, A., Thompson, I. and Euler, D. (Eds.), Ecology of a Managed Terrestrial Landscape: Patterns and Processes of Forest Landscapes in Ontario (pp. 103-114). Vancouver: UBC Press.
Bergeron, Y. and Flannigan, M.D. (1995). Predicting the effects of climate change on fire frequency in the southeastern Canadian boreal forest. In Apps, M.J., Price, D.T., and Wisniewski, J. (Eds.), Boreal Forests and Global Change. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Press.
Recent Reports
Krezek-Hanes, C.C., Flannigan, M.D. and Cantin A. 2010. Trends in large fires in Canada, 1959-2007. Canadian biodiversity: ecosystem status and trends 2010. Technical Thematic Report. No. 6.
Lemprière, T.C., Bernier, P.Y., Carroll, A.L., Flannigan, M.D., Gilsenan, R.P., McKenney, D.W., Hogg, E.H., Pedlar, J.H. and Blain, D. 2008. The importance of forest sector adaptation to climate change. Natural Resources Canada, Info. Rep. NOR-X- 416, Edmonton, AB.
Prentice, C., Harrison, S., Bartlein, P., Flannigan, M. and Lavorel, S. 2007. Fire in the Earth system and the IGBP. iLEAPS newsletter. 4:4-7.
Cary, G., Keane, R. and Flannigan, M. 2007. Classifying and comparing spatial models of fire dynamics. iLEAPS newsletter. 4:26-27.
Flannigan, M. 2012. Western Partnership for Wildland Fire Science. The Canadian Smoke Newsletter. page 15-16.